McClatchy/MSNBC Poll: Edwards Winning Iowa!!!

Yet another new poll out of Iowa this morning, this one from McClatchy/MSNBC.

(Yes, I know that there are many different polls showing many different things.  Yes, I know that some of us don't care about polls.  Happily, there are thousands of other diaries for you!)

Let's go to the numbers.

First, here are the links for you:  the News Story, and the full results in PDF.

Who's winning?

24% John Edwards
23% Hillary Clinton
22% Barack Obama

Obviously, it's close.  Well within the margin of error.

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What's the movement since the last McClatchy/MSNBC poll before the holidays?

+3 John Edwards
-3 Barack Obama
-4 Hillary Clinton

We can see Edwards picking up substantial support while both Obama and Clinton see support slipping away.

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Who's the second choice candidate of Iowa Dems?

36% John Edwards
25% Barack Obama
11% Hillary Clinton

Now things start getting interesting.  Not only is Edwards narrowly winning the first choice, but he's easily winning the second choice.

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And now comes the best news for folks who want John Edwards to be our nominee.

If supporters of the non-major candidates are forced into their second choice, who's winning?

33% John Edwards
26% Hillary Clinton
26% Barack Obama

Wow.  A very big win.

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There will be more polls.  The caucuses are still a long ways off in political terms.  But if this poll is accurate, and if the caucuses were held today, we'd win.

(PS, if you want a good non-polling diary, check out desmoinesdem's great diary, I want John Edwards to take our case to the American people.)